Political Games - Where the fuck’s the reset button?

Two today, North Carolina and Indiana. Most polls close in IN at 6, some close at 7, and NC closes at 7:30. Let the fun begin. My prediction is an even delegate split.

Oh, Obama won Guam by 7 votes on Saturday, and the two split the delegates 2-2.

UPDATE [6:20] - A few votes trickling in from parts of IN. Nothing much.

6:45 - Hah! CNN promo sez “the night that could change it all”. But it won’t. We know that nothing much will change. Obama maintains 130+ pledged delegate lead, but Clinton’s not officially eliminated! On to West Virginia next week! Meh, I’ll be here to keep updating though. I’m also studying for a final tomorrow morning, so updates may be sluggish.

7:00 - Polls are closed! “Too early to call” sez Wolf Blitzer’s Beard. So less than a 10 point win for either, approximately. I predicted 8 point Clinton win on another site. We’ll see.

7:05 - CNN exit poll sez 4 point Clinton win. This makes my 8 point prediction look brilliant [exit polls tend to overstate Obama’s support by 3-7 points].

7:30 - Polls are closed in NC! CNN sez… Obama wins! Interesting… 12 point Obama win?

8:45 - Ok, couldn’t get to my site. Dunno what that was about. Anyway… Clinton’s lead in IN is 8 points, with major Obama strongholds not in yet. CBS called it for her, but CNN hasn’t; waiting a bit to see what the vote in those Obama counties do. I’m sticking by my original prediction: +8 Clinton. In NC, Obama’s margin is +28 but it’s way early, only 15% is in. Not sure what it’ll be, though my original guess earlier today was +8 Obama. The NC exit polls predict a +13 Obama win. We’ll see.

9:00 - +6 Clinton in IN (67% in), +24 Obama in NC (24% in). Indiana might be pretty close… might the exit polls be right?!?

9:25 - Little change, 36% in from NC, Obama +20.

9:45 - Obama up 14, 53% in, in NC. Clinton up 4 in IN, 75% in. Still waiting on Lake and Laporte counties, Obama strongholds.

11:05 - Same margin in NC, 92% in; same in IN, with 86% in. Good night for the Obama fans.

12:05 - 2 points in IN, 20k votes, 92% in. NC is basically done, Clinton loses there by 14. Big, big night for Obama… can he pull the surprise upset??

1:30 - No he can’t. Clinton by 2 in IN, Obama by 14 in NC. I was off by 6 in both. This race is pretty much over. See you next week for West Virginia anyway. Clinton will withdraw either then or, more likely, after a loss in Oregon on the 20th.

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In 1967, the Supreme Court unanimously overturned state bans on interracial marriage, aka miscegenation, in the appropriately-named Loving v. Virginia. Unfortunately, Ms. Loving has passed away. Last year, in a rare public statement, Ms. Loving said:

Surrounded as I am now by wonderful children and grandchildren, not a day goes by that I don’t think of Richard and our love, our right to marry, and how much it meant to me to have that freedom to marry the person precious to me, even if others thought he was the “wrong kind of person” for me to marry. I believe all Americans, no matter their race, no matter their sex, no matter their sexual orientation, should have that same freedom to marry. Government has no business imposing some people’s religious beliefs over others. Especially if it denies people’s civil rights.

I am still not a political person, but I am proud that Richard’s and my name is on a court case that can help reinforce the love, the commitment, the fairness, and the family that so many people, black or white, young or old, gay or straight seek in life. I support the freedom to marry for all. That’s what Loving, and loving, are all about.

I’ve written before about how the arguments against gay marriage were either identical to those opposed to interracial marriage or just really, really stupid. And it’s true! Let’s fill in the blanks to prove it!

“Almighty God created the [genders, male and female], and he [made them different]. The fact that he separated the [genders] shows that he … intend[ed] for the[m] to [complement each other].”
“[Same-sex] marriage between [2 men or 2 women] is repulsive and averse to every sentiment of pure American spirit. Let us uproot and exterminate now this debasing, ultra-demoralizing, un-American and inhuman leprosy.”

No difference.

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