Political Games - Where the fuck’s the reset button?

New Mexico still hasn’t counted. Bums. The delegate count is going to be split evenly, more than likely. So, whatever.

Three big wins for Obama yesterday. Not just that they were wins, but the margin of victory was damn impressive. Nebraska and Washington were almost 70-30%, and 57-35 in Louisiana. Maine has a caucus today, so we’ll see what happens there. There’s also the Beltway Primaries on Tuesday. So I’ll see you kids then.

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Alaska goes to Romney.

New Mexico is split about 50-50 so its delegates will be split; we’ll find out later who gets bragging rights. That’ll be the last update whenever NM gets announced. Below are my thoughts on the results.

Big, BIG night for McCain (who all but secured the nomination though Romney and Huckabee might be able to pick off enough delegates to prevent him from getting a majority) and Obama. If the delegates play out as most are projecting, Obama will actually LEAD in pledged delegates after yesterday and heading into the favorable February 9th and 10th caucuses [and one primary], followed by what will be an interesting Beltway Primary Tuesday on the 12th. He has a path to the nomination now, a very clear path, though it is by no means over.

After the 12th, we have the Wisconsin and Hawaii primaries on the 19th. There’s a two week break before we have several important states on March 4th, including Ohio and Texas. There’s Wyoming on the 8th, Mississippi on the 11th, and then… nothing for 6 weeks. And then, holy crap, my state votes in a contested presidential primary. April 22nd. There’s 5 contests in May, the 6th, 13th, and the 20th, followed by 2 contests on June 3rd. And that’s it. Gonna be a fun ride!

Interesting side note: McCain failed to win a majority in his home state. Conservatives really, really do not like him. I have no idea why.

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Here We Go!

CNN projects Georgia to Obama, the GOP is Too Close To Call.

[7:06]: Take the following with a grain of salt. Actually, make that a mountain of salt.

If these exit poll leaks (Democratic, Republican) are at all accurate, then Obama might be able to put this away. McCain would also be in some trouble, though still the frontrunner. I’m distrustful of exit polls since they do have such a wide range of variance.

[7:45]: Going to eat. I’ll be back around 8:30. Go watch CNN or something.

[8:30]: I’m back.

CNN projects Clinton to win Oklahoma and Tennessee, Obama to win Illinois; McCain to win Jersey, Connecticut, and Illinois, Romney to win Massachusetts.

Also, Huckabee won West Virginia earlier today.

[8:40]: Via my roommate: “Am I the only one to notice that Obama is represented by a dark blue on CNN?”

[8:45]: CNN projects McCain to win Delaware

[8:55]: Forgot to mention that CNN projected Clinton and Huckabee to win Arkansas. Sorry to fail to update you on such a shocking development.

[9:00]: Hillary wins New York. Another shocker. CNN has no other projections for the recently-closed states.

[9:07]: CNN calls Delaware for Obama. Lots of races are either very close or simply don’t have a representative sample in yet. Connecticut might be the next one called, they’re around 25-35% in.

[9:34]: CNN calls Alabama for Obama. Still waiting on Connecticut…

[9:55]: CNN calls Jersey and Massachusetts for Clinton, New York for McCain.

[10:00]: CNN calls Utah for Romney. Shocking!

[10:05]: Oklahoma goes to McCain, says CNN. McCain is getting what he needs right now.

North Dakota is called for Obama.

[10:20]: Kansas goes to Obama, says CNN.

Wow AND Connecticut! Good close race there.

[10:30]: What’s left [for the Democrats] is Arizona, Alaska, California, Colorado, Idaho, Minnesota, Missouri, New Mexico, and Utah.

Clinton is leading in Missouri, while Colorado, Idaho, Minnesota, and Utah are likely going to Obama [Utah is the only real guess on my part].

Arizona is going to be close, as is New Mexico, though the exit polls on CNN.com show Obama with a slight lead. I have no idea what’s going to happen in Alaska or California. We’ll start to find out at the top of the hour.

And Alabama goes to Huckabee, sez CNN.

[10:33]: Minnesota goes to Obama, projects CNN. I’m a genius!

[10:40]: While the Mittster babbles on, CNN.com finally called Arizona for McCain. Took them long enough…

[11:03]: CNN projects North Dakota for Romney, says California is Too Close To Call for either party.

A glance at the exit polls show Hillary with a narrow lead. 50-45, maybe 51-45. That’s a close race, we’ll see what the actual vote tallies show…

[11:12]: CNN projects Minnesota for Romney.

[11:30]: Four and a half hours later, Georgia goes to Huckabee. Missouri for both parties is close. Go Barack!

[11:42]: Idaho and Colorado are called for Obama.

[11:48]: Utah projected for Obama by CNN, as Obama speaks.

[11:51]: CNN.com projects Colorado for Romney.

[12:01]: Burn the midnight oil people! It’s Super Wednesday!

CNN.com calls Tennessee for Huckabee.

[12:05]: Montana goes to Romney according to CNN.com

[12:15]: Arizona gets called for Clinton. I wish I could see the maps for New Mexico and California for where those votes are coming in…

[12:26]: California called for Clinton and McCain. Hopefully the margins are slim and Obama picks up a large chunk of the delegates…

McCain eeks out win in Mizzou.

[12:45]: Obama wins Alaska, says CNN.com

Missouri and New Mexico are still open.

[1:25]: In a hugely unexpected win, Obama beats Hillary in Missouri.

[1:50]: Still waiting on New Mexico. If something happens in the next 10 minutes I’ll post it. Else, I’m done for the evening. Good day for Obama.

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No idea what’s going to happen tomorrow. Maybe I’ll liveblog the returns. I forget which state, but one finishes at 7 pm. See you then.

And if you can, VOTE!

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From 2004, Eminem’s “VOTE!” music video.

From 2008, a neat little mash-up vid.

Let’s change the direction of our country. If you can vote on Tuesday, do it!!

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